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SAICHILD FINANCIAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
Saichild Financial Holdings Limited – Year-End Holiday Notice
Dear Clients, Partners, and Colleagues, Please be informed that Saichild Financial Holdings Limited (Korea) will be closed for the year-end holidays from 15 December 2025 and will reopen for business on 5 January 2026 . During this period, our offices will be closed, and normal operations will resume on the reopening date. For any urgent matters , please email us at info@saichild.com , and we will respond within 24 hours . We take this opportunity to than
Soyoung Hwang
Nov 14
Notice of Discontinuation of FX Commentary Updates
Effective 12 November 2025 , CF&E Proprietary Trading will discontinue updates to our FX Market Commentary section, except for Quarterly Insights that will continue to be shared. We would like to take this opportunity to extend our sincere appreciation to all our readers and followers who have supported and engaged with our insights over the past years. Your continued interest and feedback have been invaluable to us. While regular FX commentary will cease, CF&E Proprietary
Eddie SMH
Nov 11
AUD/USD climbs to four-day highs around 0.6540
In quite an auspicious start to the new trading week, AUD/USD adds to Friday’s advance and clinches new multi-day highs around 0.6540, flirting at the same time with its temporary 100-day SMA. Moving forward, market participants are expected to closely follow the release of the Australian jobs report later in the week. AUD/USD Technical Overview AUD/USD picks up fresh upside impulse, although its extension and duration remain to be seen. The continuation of the current bo
James Lee
Nov 11
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Rebounds above 153.00 as buyers stepped in
The USD/JPY stages a recovery on Friday with buyers claiming 153.00, an indication that the uptrend might resume in the short term. The 100-pip or 0.68% Thursday’s loss was offset by traders buying the US Dollar due to its close correlation with the US 10-year Treasury note yield, which was steady during the trading day. USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook The USD/JPY technical picture shows that buyers regained momentum at around 153.00 with the next support level s
Yeonhyun Park
Nov 10
AUD/USD risks extra losses near term
AUD/USD rapidly leaves behind Wednesday’s uptick and refocuses on the downside, breaking below the 0.6500 support zone once again on Thursday. The daily downtick exposes the pair to a potential challenge of its critical 200-day SMA near 0.6450 sooner rather than later. AUD/USD Technical Overview The near-term outlook for AUD/USD now looks deteriorated, paving the way for further losses, while a challenge to the key 200-day SMA just below 0.6450 returning to the radar. So,
James Lee
Nov 7
EUR/USD remains under pressure below 1.1500 after US data
EUR/USD stays on the back foot and trades below 1.1500 in the American session on Wednesday. The US Dollar benefits from upbeat ADP Employment Change and ISM Services PMI data for October, not allowing the pair to stage a rebound. EUR/USD Technical Overview In the 4-hour chart, EUR/USD is currently trading at around 1.1492, little changed on a daily basis. A bearish 20 SMA slides below the longer ones, and currently provides resistance at around 1.1511, suggesting sellers r
James Lee
Nov 6
AUD/USD: Sellers retarget the 200-day SMA
The intense sell-off in the risk-associated universe weighs heavily on the Aussie Dollar on Tuesday, sending AUD/USD to the 0.6480 area, or two-week lows, against the backdrop of a firmer Greenback. Meanwhile, the RBA’s hawkish hold earlier on Tuesday remains unable to lend some legs to the AUD so far. AUD/USD Technical Overview The Aussie Dollar remained on the back foot in the area of two-week lows, largely in response to dynamics around the US Dollar, while the hawkish h
James Lee
Nov 5
EUR/USD: Door open to extra losses
EUR/USD is on the back foot for a fourth straight day, kicking off the week on a weak note as it hovers near the key 1.1500 support area. The pair remains under pressure amid the dollar’s sharp recovery, with traders still assessing Wednesday’s FOMC meeting. Meanwhile, investors continue to scale back expectations of a Fed rate cut by year-end, adding further support to the buck. EUR/USD Technical Overview The EUR/USD’s near-term outlook continues to deteriorate. The loss o
James Lee
Nov 4
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Uptrend shows fatigue as RSI divergence hints at short-term pullback
The Japanese Yen (JPY) steadies against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, with USD/JPY pausing its two-day winning streak despite the Greenback’s broader strength, as renewed verbal warnings from Japanese officials revive intervention concerns. Japan’s new Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said the government is “closely monitoring FX with a high sense of urgency,” a remark that offered the Yen some intraday support after the pair touched fresh multi-month highs on Thursday.
Yeonhyun Park
Nov 3
Gold grinds north of $4,000 despite broad US Dollar strength
Gold is finding some footing on Thursday, orbiting around the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce and reversing four consecutive daily pullbacks. The US-China trade truce and the solid tone in the US Dollar seem to be limiting the precious metal’s upside potential. XAU/USD Technical Overview In the 4-hour chart, XAU/USD is currently trading at around $4,002, holding on to solid intraday gains. A bearish 20 SMA slides south at $3,973, sitting just above the 200 SMA, and both are
James Lee
Oct 31
AUD/USD: A test of the YTD peak should not be ruled out
The late and strong rebound in the US Dollar prevents AUD/USD from extending its positive streak on Wednesday. Earlier in the day, the Aussie had met support in the firmer-than-expected inflation data in Australia and hopes of a favourable outcome from the US-China trade discussions. AUD/USD Technical Overview The firmer-than-expected inflation prints in Australia have lent support to the view that the RBA will refrain from lowering its OCR next week, further underpinning t
James Lee
Oct 30
EUR/USD: The Fed will put the recovery to the test
EUR/USD clinches its fifth day in a row with gains, surpassing its transitory 100-day SMA in the 1.1660-1.1670 band amid a modest pullback in the Greenback and steady hopes of a US-China trade agreement. On Wednesday, the Fed is widely anticipated to trim its FFTR by 25 bps. EUR/USD Technical Overview EUR/USD keeps its gradual recovery unabated so far, approaching the key 1.1700 hurdle. Further up emerges the weekly peak at 1.1728 (October 17), followed by the October cei
James Lee
Oct 29
AUD/USD now retargets 0.6600 and beyond
AUD/USD rapidly leaves behind Friday’s slight decline and advances markedly well past the 0.6500 barrier on Monday. The Aussie’s uptick comes on the back of a decent pullback in the US Dollar as investors remain hopeful of a US-China trade deal. AUD/USD Technical Overview Further gains in AUD/USD remain on the cards as long as it trades above its critical 200-day SMA near 0.6430. If the recovery gathers serious traction, the spot could be looking at a potential challenge
James Lee
Oct 28
GBP/USD Weekly Forecast: Pound Sterling sellers return; focus shifts to Fed
The Pound Sterling (GBP) faced rejection once again on its way to the 1.3500 level when compared with the US Dollar (USD), sending GBP/USD back toward the 1.3300 mark. The pair felt the heat of the USD resurgence as a safe-haven asset, while increased dovish bets surrounding the Bank of England’s (BoE) interest rate outlook added to its downside. Growing geopolitical and trade tensions dented risk appetite at the start of the week, lifting the haven demand for the Greenba
Yeonhyun Park
Oct 27
AUD/USD faces further consolidation
AUD/USD picks up renewed upside impulse and surpasses the 0.6500 barrier ahead of the opening bell in Asia. The Aussie’s daily recovery comes despite further gains in the Greenback and easing tensions on the trade front. Moving forward, the advanced gauges of business activity will be the salient event in Oz on Friday. AUD/USD Technical Overview For the time being, the consolidative atmosphere around AUD/USD remains unchanged. In fact, although the crucial 200-day SMA at
James Lee
Oct 24
Gold at risk of piercing the $4,000 threshold
Gold remains under pressure on Wednesday, testing the vicinity of the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce as rising US Treasury yields, easing US–China trade tensions, and a bout of profit-taking keep buyers on the sidelines. XAU/USD Technical Overview From a technical point of view, the XAU/USD pair is at risk of falling further, particularly if the $4,000 threshold gives up. The daily chart shows that the pair bounced from a bullish 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA), while the 10
James Lee
Oct 23
AUD/USD risks a drop to 0.6440
AUD/USD trades on a negative foot on Tuesday, reversing two daily advances in a row and returning to the sub-0.6500 zone on the back of the continuation of the strong sentiment around the US Dollar. Easing tensions on the US-China trade front, in the meantime, failed to underpin the recent rebound in the Aussie. AUD/USD Technical Overview So far, extra gains in AUD/USD appear limited by the provisional 100-day and 55-day SMAs at 0.6533 and 0.6547, respectively. Once this
James Lee
Oct 22
EUR/USD opens the door to some consolidation
EUR/USD finds its difficult to reverse Friday’s losses amid the tepid advance in the US Dollar. Meanwhile, investors continue to assess the ongoing US-China trade effervescence and the likelihood of a dovish Fed at its meeting next week. EUR/USD Technical Overview EUR/USD’s price action looks unconvincing and unclear. In case the ongoing recovery picks up a more serious pace, the pair should retarget the October peak at 1.1778 (October 1), seconded by the 2025 high of 1.
James Lee
Oct 21
USD/JPY strengthens as Trump’s softer stance on China boosts US Dollar demand
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakens against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, with USD/JPY rebounding after slipping to two-week lows earlier in the Asian session. The recovery comes as the Greenback regains footing after President Donald Trump softened his rhetoric on China, helping stabilize risk sentiment and lift the Dollar across the board. At the time of writing, USD/JPY is trading around 150.38, erasing intraday losses after bouncing off a session low near 149.38. The move r
Yeonhyun Park
Oct 20
AUD/USD: Extra weakness likely below 0.6425
AUD/USD resumes its decline and returns to the sub-0.6500 region on Thursday. The move lower in the pair comes despite the US Dollar accelerates its weakness to multi-day lows amid steady bets on a couple of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. AUD/USD Technical Overview If sellers remain in control, AUD/USD might put its key 200-day SMA near 0.6430 to the test sooner rather than later. That said, the loss of that region could prompt spot to revisit the August troug
James Lee
Oct 17
AUD/USD keeps the constructive outlook above the 200-day SMA
AUD/USD reverses Tuesday’s marked decline and advances past the 0.6500 barrier on Wednesday. The recovery in the Aussie comes on the back of further selling pressure hurting the US Dollar and the generalised recovery in the risk-linked galaxy. Next of note around AUD will be the release of the jobs report in Oz on Thursday AUD/USD Technical Overview AUD/USD faces a strong contention zone around its critical 200-day SMA near 0.6420. Indeed, in case sellers push harder and
James Lee
Oct 16
AUD/USD: Door open to a challenge of the 200-day SMA
AUD/USD remains on the defensive ahead of the opening bell in Asia, hovering just below the 0.6500 hurdle after bottoming out near 0.6440, or multi-week lows, earlier in the day. The resurgence of US-China trade tensions weighed on the Aussie, leaving the door open to extra losses in the very near term. AUD/USD Technical Overview AUD/USD risks a probable descent to its critical 200-day SMA near 0.6420. That said, the continuation of the current bearish trend should face t
James Lee
Oct 15
Gold record run continues beyond $4,100
Gold preserve its bullish momentum to start the week and trades at a new record-high at around $4,100. The political drama in France, the uncertainty surrounding the US-China relations and the impact of the government shutdown allow Gold to remain attractive as a traditional safe-haven asset. XAU/USD Technical Overview From a technical point of view, the XAU/USD pair is bullish. In the daily chart, technical indicators resumed their advance within overbought levels after co
James Lee
Oct 14
EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Political jitters boosting US Dollar demand
The EUR/USD pair edged lower and bottomed at 1.1542 on Thursday, ending the week in the red in the 1.1570 price zone on Friday. The US...
Yeonhyun Park
Oct 13
Gold plunges to $3,950 on broad US Dollar demand
Gold gives away part of the recent advance, receding from recent all-time tops, piercing the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce on Thursday....
James Lee
Oct 10
AUD/USD faces extra rangebound trade
AUD/USD manages to clinch modest gains on Wednesday amid the continuation of the strong upward trend in the US Dollar. The pair, in the...
James Lee
Oct 9
EUR/USD hovers around daily lows near 1.1650
EUR/USD remains on the defensive and navigates the lower end of its recent range near 1.1650, always on the back of the continuation of...
James Lee
Oct 8
Gold clings to strong gains near record high amid dovish Fed, safe-haven buying
Gold holds sizeable gains and stays comfortably above the $3,900 mark, near the all-time peak touched early this Monday. Uncertainty...
James Lee
Oct 7
AUD/USD rises to near 0.6600 as traders pare RBA dovish bets
The AUD/USD pair gains slightly to near 0.6605 during the European trading session on Friday. The Aussie pair moves higher as the...
James Lee
Oct 6
Gold recovers after flirting with $3,820
Gold remains on the back foot, although it manages well to bounce off the daily contention area around $3,820 per troy ounce. The yellow...
James Lee
Oct 3
EUR/USD trims gains, back to 1.1730
EUR/USD now faces some selling pressure, giving away part of its earlier advance and returning to the 1.1740-1.1730 band on the back of...
James Lee
Oct 2
AUD/USD surges above 0.6600 as RBA warns of upside inflation risks
The AUD/USD pair jumps to near 0.6600 during the European trading session on Tuesday. The Aussie pair has been trading strongly as the...
James Lee
Oct 1
AUD/USD jumps to near 0.6570 as US Dollar underperforms, RBA policy in focus
The AUD/USD pair trades 0.35% higher around 0.6570 during the European trading session on Monday. The Aussie pair trades firmly as the US...
James Lee
Sep 30
Global Oil Market Report — September 2025
The global oil market has entered a phase of relative stability in September 2025 following periods of price volatility earlier in the...
Richard Hwang
Sep 29
USD/JPY slips as US PCE data and tariff concerns curb Greenback’s momentum
The Japanese Yen (JPY) firms against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, with USD/JPY taking a breather after a sharp two-day rally that had...
Yeonhyun Park
Sep 29
AUD/USD wobbles around 0.6600 ahead of key US data release
AUD/USD trades sideways around 0.6600 ahead of the release of the US data. Investors will closely monitor the US Initial Jobless Claims...
James Lee
Sep 26
EUR/USD drops below 1.1750 on renewed USD strength
EUR/USD stays under bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Wednesday. Disappointing business sentiment data from Germany weigh on...
James Lee
Sep 25
AUD/USD recovers early losses as US Dollar struggles to extend upside
The AUD/USD pair claws back its early losses and rebounds to near 0.6590 during the European trading session on Monday. The Aussie pair...
James Lee
Sep 23
NZD/USD Price Forecast: USD bulls keep Kiwi pair below 200-day EMA
The NZD/USD pair slides to near 0.5855 during the late European trading session on Friday, the lowest level seen in 10 days. The Kiwi...
Yeonhyun Park
Sep 22
Canadian Dollar pares away more gains as US Dollar recovers ground
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) stumbled into a second straight day of declines on Thursday. The US Dollar (USD) continues to gain ground...
Yeonhyun Park
Sep 19
EUR/USD trims losses, revisits 1.1860 ahead of the Fed
Following an early drop to the 1.1830 zone, EUR/USD now picks up some upside impulse and retest the 1.1860 zone, down marginally for the...
James Lee
Sep 18
AUD/USD holds onto gains near 0.6670 as US Dollar declines further
AUD/USD clings to gains near 0.6670 amid weakness in the US Dollar. The Fed is certain to cut interest rates in the policy meeting on...
James Lee
Sep 17
Gold rises above $3,660 as US yields turn south
Gold gathers bullish momentum and trades above $3,660 after falling toward $3,620 in the European session on Monday. Growing expectations...
James Lee
Sep 16
NZD/USD: Unlikely to be able to break above 0.5990
There is room for New Zealand Dollar (NZD) to rise further, but it is unlikely to be able to break above 0.5990 today. In the longer run,...
Yeonhyun Park
Sep 15
USD/CHF eases as Greenback declines amid Fed rate cut expectations
USD/CHF chalked in a technical rejection of the 0.8000 handle on Thursday, with the US Dollar (USD) taking a beating across the board....
Yeonhyun Park
Sep 12
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Stuck in tight range around 147.00 as traders await US data
The USD/JPY remains consolidated on Wednesday as buyers and sellers remain unable to move the markets past the 147.00-147.65 range for...
Yeonhyun Park
Sep 11
AUD/USD revisits almost 10-month high around 0.6620 as US Dollar underperforms
AUD/USD jumps to near 0.6620 as the US Dollar underperforms its peers. Investors expect the Fed to cut interest rates in the policy...
James Lee
Sep 10
EN590 Market Update
Market Overview – Asia This week, Asian commodity markets remained mixed as traders balanced softer demand signals from China with...
Richard Hwang
Sep 9
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