top of page

GBP/USD recedes to 1.2640 on US PCE data

GBP/USD remains positively oriented in the 1.2640 zone as the Greenback experiences a marked pullback following the PCE inflation release.

 

GBP/USD remains hobbled on the south side of the 1.2600 handle, churning bids north of 1.2500 as the pair finds some breathing room after another leg lower from early November’s choppy plateau just below 1.3000. Cable reached a six-month low of 1.2487 late last week, clipping into a 7% decline top-to-bottom from September’s peaks at 1.3434. 

 

In the near-term, Pound bulls hoping for an end to the current Greenback upshot will be looking for intraday bids to return to the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near 1.2840, while long-run short positions will be looking for an opportunity to redevelop momentum and drag Cable back to 2024 lows at the 1.2300 handle.

 

A limited data schedule on either side of the Atlantic kept Cable traders locked in place, but looming US inflation data could spark a fresh round of volatility ahead of the US Thanksgiving holiday slated for Thursday.

 

A raft of financial activity figures from the UK are slated for release on Friday, but the figures are broadly low-tier and will have a limited impact. Some particularly-studious Pound Sterling traders will be keeping one eye on the Bank of England’s latest Financial Stability Report, also due Friday, but market movement is likely to be limited from the print.

 

Wednesday will bring another update to US Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCEPI) inflation, a key reading of price increases underpinning the US economy. Wednesday also brings a quarterly update of US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth. Annualized core PCEPI inflation is set to accelerate again in October and forecast to increase to 2.8% from the previous 2.7%. QoQ US GDP growth in the third quarter is expected to hold steady at 2.8%.

Comentarios


bottom of page